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A group of 13 Republican senators is leading the negotiations to craft a new bill to repeal and replace most of the Affordable Care Act. Senators plan to vote by the August recess.
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Republicans are feeling the best they have this cycle about their chances of holding their majority, but even doing that requires several states to break their way on election night.
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Democrats still have plenty of opportunities to retake the majority, but once top-tier states like Ohio and Florida have slipped. Republicans, however, have new worries in Indiana and North Carolina.
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Republican senators have a range of options at their disposal if they want to block an Obama Supreme Court nomination.